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How high will interest rates go?

How high will interest rates go?

We expect the Fed to raise its policy rate above 5% in the near term while at the same time reducing its balance sheet by $95 billion per month.
Preparing Your Business for a Recession

Preparing Your Business for a Recession

A recession can be challenging for any business. However, business owners can take steps to prepare for a recession and position their companies for growth as the economy recovers. In this video, we'll provide six tips to help you and your business prepare for a recession.
RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index shows 35% probability of recession over next year

RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index shows 35% probability of recession over next year

The RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index declined into negative terrain in May, signaling the impact of high inflation, rising interest rates, the lockdowns in China and the war in Ukraine.
U.S. GDP declines by 1.4%: This is what an overheating economy looks like

U.S. GDP declines by 1.4%: This is what an overheating economy looks like

Growth in the first three months of the year contracted at 1.4% pace as Americans turned to imports to meet torrid demand that is simply unsustainable.
Pending home sales fell back to pre-pandemic level amid rising rates

Pending home sales fell back to pre-pandemic level amid rising rates

pending home sales fell 1.2% in March, declining for the fifth month in a row, as demand continued to slow due to high prices and rising mortgage rates.
Chart of the day: Industrial production hits record in March

Chart of the day: Industrial production hits record in March

Domestic industrial production increased by 0.9% in March, beating market forecasts despite global supply chain disruptions of key materials.
RSM US Middle Market Business Index

RSM US Middle Market Business Index

The omicron variant and rising prices have taken a toll on overall economic activity and consumer confidence over the past three months.
Senate Finance releases Build Back Better text

Senate Finance releases Build Back Better text

Senate Finance Committee Build Back Better language largely leaves House Bill unchanged. SALT language omitted as well as billionaires’ tax.
The Real Economy: December 2021

The Real Economy: December 2021

Nearly two years into the pandemic, there are signs that the worst of a once-in-a-century shock to the global economy is beginning to fade.
The ripple effect of supply shortages

The ripple effect of supply shortages

Fragile global supply chains are facing another round of port closures, factory shutdowns, production halts and labor shortages.
2021 Mid-Year Outlook

2021 Mid-Year Outlook

Economic momentum underpins positive global equity returns causing gyrations in interest rates, hampering fixed income returns.
RSM US Middle Market Business Index Eases Slightly in May but Overall Remains Strong as the Economy Continues to Reopen

RSM US Middle Market Business Index Eases Slightly in May but Overall Remains Strong as the Economy Continues to Reopen

RSM today announced results of the May 2021 reading for its RSM US Middle Market Business Index (MMBI).
The economic index from RSM shines a light on the middle market

The economic index from RSM shines a light on the middle market

Five years ago, RSM launched an innovative economic indicator called the RSM US Middle Market Business Index.
Understanding a $2 trillion infrastructure project

Understanding a $2 trillion infrastructure project

A closer look at the Biden administration’s proposal and how it can improve productivity and, ultimately, raise living standards.
First-quarter GDP: Growth improves as the recovery accelerates

First-quarter GDP: Growth improves as the recovery accelerates

It's essential that the fiscal and monetary authorities follow through on current policy paths for the economy to return to full employment.
Economic activity accelerates heading into spring

Economic activity accelerates heading into spring

March was another strong month for risk assets, especially in the U.S. as vaccine manufacturing and distribution ramped up.