U.S. inventories are growing at twice the rate of sales
The surge in inventories raises the risk that firms will be caught with excess supplies just as demand begins to slow down this year.
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How high will interest rates go?
We expect the Fed to raise its policy rate above 5% in the near term while at the same time reducing its balance sheet by $95 billion per month.
Fed raises its policy rate by 75 basis points as it prepares to slow pace of hikes
The Federal Reserve increased its policy rate by 75 basis points on Wednesday to a range between 3.75% and 4% as it hinted at slowing the pace of its hikes.
U.S. housing supply continues to fall amid rising mortgage rates
There were 1.56 million new housing starts in June on an annualized basis, a 2.0% decline from May and the lowest level since last September.
RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index shows 35% probability of recession over next year
The RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index declined into negative terrain in May, signaling the impact of high inflation, rising interest rates, the lockdowns in China and the war in Ukraine.
RSM US Middle Market Business Index
The omicron variant and rising prices have taken a toll on overall economic activity and consumer confidence over the past three months.
The Real Economy: December 2021
Nearly two years into the pandemic, there are signs that the worst of a once-in-a-century shock to the global economy is beginning to fade.
The ripple effect of supply shortages
Fragile global supply chains are facing another round of port closures, factory shutdowns, production halts and labor shortages.
Cybersecurity report illuminates family office risks and safeguards
Expanding cybersecurity threats present family offices with challenges. See how the problems intensified with the shift to remote work.
2021 Mid-Year Outlook
Economic momentum underpins positive global equity returns causing gyrations in interest rates, hampering fixed income returns.
The economic index from RSM shines a light on the middle market
Five years ago, RSM launched an innovative economic indicator called the RSM US Middle Market Business Index.
First-quarter GDP: Growth improves as the recovery accelerates
It's essential that the fiscal and monetary authorities follow through on current policy paths for the economy to return to full employment.
Economic activity accelerates heading into spring
March was another strong month for risk assets, especially in the U.S. as vaccine manufacturing and distribution ramped up.
Understanding a $2 trillion infrastructure project
A closer look at the Biden administration’s proposal and how it can improve productivity and, ultimately, raise living standards.
RSM Middle Market Business Index: March 2021
If there is one major takeaway from the March monthly survey, it is that middle market hiring and investment are set to accelerate.
The Real Economy: Volume 76
We examine inflation from several angles: What to expect, how inflation has behaved historically, the impact of fiscal stimulus, and more.