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How high will interest rates go?

How high will interest rates go?

We expect the Fed to raise its policy rate above 5% in the near term while at the same time reducing its balance sheet by $95 billion per month.
Fed raises its policy rate by 75 basis points as it prepares to slow pace of hikes

Fed raises its policy rate by 75 basis points as it prepares to slow pace of hikes

The Federal Reserve increased its policy rate by 75 basis points on Wednesday to a range between 3.75% and 4% as it hinted at slowing the pace of its hikes.
U.S. housing supply continues to fall amid rising mortgage rates

U.S. housing supply continues to fall amid rising mortgage rates

There were 1.56 million new housing starts in June on an annualized basis, a 2.0% decline from May and the lowest level since last September.
RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index shows 35% probability of recession over next year

RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index shows 35% probability of recession over next year

The RSM US Manufacturing Outlook Index declined into negative terrain in May, signaling the impact of high inflation, rising interest rates, the lockdowns in China and the war in Ukraine.
RSM US Middle Market Business Index

RSM US Middle Market Business Index

The omicron variant and rising prices have taken a toll on overall economic activity and consumer confidence over the past three months.
The Real Economy: December 2021

The Real Economy: December 2021

Nearly two years into the pandemic, there are signs that the worst of a once-in-a-century shock to the global economy is beginning to fade.
The ripple effect of supply shortages

The ripple effect of supply shortages

Fragile global supply chains are facing another round of port closures, factory shutdowns, production halts and labor shortages.
Cybersecurity report illuminates family office risks and safeguards

Cybersecurity report illuminates family office risks and safeguards

Expanding cybersecurity threats present family offices with challenges. See how the problems intensified with the shift to remote work.
2021 Mid-Year Outlook

2021 Mid-Year Outlook

Economic momentum underpins positive global equity returns causing gyrations in interest rates, hampering fixed income returns.
The economic index from RSM shines a light on the middle market

The economic index from RSM shines a light on the middle market

Five years ago, RSM launched an innovative economic indicator called the RSM US Middle Market Business Index.
Understanding a $2 trillion infrastructure project

Understanding a $2 trillion infrastructure project

A closer look at the Biden administration’s proposal and how it can improve productivity and, ultimately, raise living standards.
First-quarter GDP: Growth improves as the recovery accelerates

First-quarter GDP: Growth improves as the recovery accelerates

It's essential that the fiscal and monetary authorities follow through on current policy paths for the economy to return to full employment.
Economic activity accelerates heading into spring

Economic activity accelerates heading into spring

March was another strong month for risk assets, especially in the U.S. as vaccine manufacturing and distribution ramped up.
RSM Middle Market Business Index: March 2021

RSM Middle Market Business Index: March 2021

If there is one major takeaway from the March monthly survey, it is that middle market hiring and investment are set to accelerate.
The Real Economy: Volume 76

The Real Economy: Volume 76

We examine inflation from several angles: What to expect, how inflation has behaved historically, the impact of fiscal stimulus, and more.
Understanding the makings of a $2 trillion infrastructure project

Understanding the makings of a $2 trillion infrastructure project

A project that modernizes the national infrastructure means increased jobs, productivity and growth, leading to better living standards.